Friday, November 16, 2018

Piketty: Capital, introduced

oh yeah, the books:
almost in a whisper, 'Ever since I can remember doing it, I knew there would never be enough time to read all the books I wanted to...'.

This time it started as a desire to generate dialogue about economics, of all things.

I had picked up a short monograph on Double-Entry bookeeping.

Impressed with the elegance of the basic idea, that is, to 'show the measures', the changes, in a ledger, both the costs and benefits separately, I then wanted to share this lens. And the idea appealed to me that the first published (and thus first widely-distributed and, therefore, duplicated) text was what was being discussed here. This idea appealed because there already was another digestible yet nutritious book regarding economics on my to-do list.

Capital In The Twenty-First Century got my attention through the news of its publication in English in 2014. I could not afford to purchase this book until 2015 and did not start reading it in earnest until a number of other projects could at first be finished. 2018 was that year and I hope to have it done by this same year's end.

A couple years ago I had read the introduction and shelved it. This year I picked it up again and then made a habit of it. The first 270 pages tell what the book means to show, how it will go about that, what it cannot talk about with any degree of clarity or certainty, and, what basic principles it will use and how the author will apply them, while shedding folklore and biases along the way.

To talk about Capital and income and labor and inequalities of distribution he goes back, in a few cases centuries, in order to show broad macroeconomic trends. Two basic principles involve how national income is broadly calculated. They also show how simple the concepts are here, how simple the math is, but how broad they must be to make these comparisons between countries and eras. An annual estimation, for instance, of national income of a country is figured by simply multiplying the country's capital/income ratio by the national rate of return on investment. Another basic principle, described as the second fundamental law of capitalism figures that the capital/income ratio over the long term - a century or more - can be simply calculated as the ratio of the savings rate divided by the growth rate.

Piketty describes his terms, states his questions, acknowledges the gaps in data and gives real world examples of what it all means, but it takes 190 pages to get him to the present. Then he has to break down the similarities, subtleties and vagueries between capital and labor, as these overlap depending on whose banksheet you look at.

Since the preponderance of data of national economies comes from Britain, France and the US, he is able to compare and contrast those to a greater extent. But of course he goes on to great length describing emerging economies as well, many of which we simply don't have cumulative enough data before the 20th century.

Piketty comes to a couple startling conclusions. Central to these are the widely accepted bits of conventional wisdom that economic inequality is globally getting worse and that there's no top end in sight without some major disruption. One of these points that he thinks is driving the massive inequalities in the leading economic players as well as in the emerging world is the increase in what he calls supermanagers who are receiving greater and greater amounts in compensation. This basic point not only makes sense but is supported by the data.

Another point he gets to half way thru the book is that in capitalism, the rate of return on invested capital, over the long term, becomes greater than the growth rate of the economies upon which they thrive. This he calls the primary reason in agrarian societies for hyperconcentrated wealth inequality. This then becomes the basis for the greater expansion of inequality in later industrial and post-industrial global economies. This also makes sense and is shown clearly in the comprehensive French records of the various kinds of capital and taxes, including estate taxes of various sorts.

If this all seems very dry it is meant to, as it's not controversial. There are, however, other popular narratives that aren't borne out by the data that among other things aim to do away with taxes for the very wealthy and aim to increase disparities, despite the dangers that these tactics have long been known to instigate. He cautions again and again though that the data of all sets is not complete, that models of whatever kind have their frailties, that misapplication or, misplacing data sets have all typically been the norm in analyses.

But we can know enough to see inequalities indeed exist today, that these today are not worse (yet) than those seen a hundred years ago in France, just before WWI. That the World Wars wracked the west economically, that tax policy in the US and Europe and the buying and holding of assets after WWII (in Europe primarily) also utterly changed the dynamic, reducing inequalities through much of the rest of the twentieth century.

In the eleventh chapter he goes on to tackle the concepts of merit and inheritance like this:
"The overall importance of capital today ... is not very different from what it was in the eighteenth century. Only its form has changed: capital was once mainly land but is now industrial, financial, and real estate.  ... the concentration of wealth remains high... [t]he poorest half still owns nothing, but there is now a patrimonial middle class that owns between a quarter and a third of total wealth... [and] that the relative movements of the return on capital and the rate of growth of the economy... can explain many of the observed changes, including the logic of accumulation...." [p.377]

He continually reminds that such changes as those in population, life-expectancy, migration, education levels, etc. directly change and influence economies on a broad and long scale. But the structure of wealth accumulation comes through labor or inheritance. How much of either of these do the wealthiest endure? After all these depend on social structures: are there jobs, does the state collect taxes? So, Piketty looks at 'Inheritance flows over time'. Once the reader gets into it things get very interesting. And Arthur Goldhammer makes everything in translation clear as day.
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Piketty, Thomas: Capital In The 21st Century, translated Arthur Goldhammer; Belknap,Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA 2014

Thursday, November 8, 2018

White House news early November 2018

The news came frightfully fast yesterday, 07 November.

Once the precinct reports of ballot tallies began pouring in Tuesday night (06 Nov) it was clear the tidal wave of democratic wins was not as strong everywhere as many hoped.

Held every two years on the first Tuesday of November, midterm elections happen in the middle of the regular four-year presidential term of office in the U.S. This other, non-presidential, but national election is also seen as the result of the voting populace reflecting on the performance of that office-holder just under two years in, belaying its consequent mood of approval or disapproval of that office. I am being pedantic and methodical in laying this out here but the context is so important. Things just got a lot hotter in the White House.

Twenty years ago many Americans (and wherever else the show got syndicated) watched the television show COPS. It was so ubiquitous in households then that the show's jingle entered common parlance. It was a show anyone could understand and popularly featured dumb criminals. Criminals who weren't very skilled playing out their stupid endeavors on camera right before they got caught gathered an audience that cheered on law enforcement and made mockery of those many dumb criminals.

As it turns out today's news went quickly off the rails. Of course there were the usual, expected tallying and broadcasting of vote outcomes in the various states across the country to the also usual analysis of those collective outcomes and what that may mean for the functioning of our legislative branch of our government. In the morning we were told we could expect a press conference at the White House with the President on the outcomes of these races as well. This too is not uncommon in the last several decades.

Not surprisingly the expected next Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi made a public statement extending her wish to work in a bipartisan manner with the new and existing members of Congress and with the office of the President. And the President himself echoed the sentiment in a tweet, a form of communication typical for this office-holder.

The news media at large continued as it does on such days as expected. There were the usual difficulties of the counting and the polling of large numbers of people in various places and there were the many expectations set out by different groups about who would do well or who might not. There were also many unusual irregularities as well, especially in Florida, Georgia, and Texas. These stories will continue with special elections in Georgia and perhaps recounts in Florida , or Texas.

The president had spent time over the last several weeks visiting places and publicly praising candidates that he thought he could work with. None of those seemed to do very well. But the President even priased a member of the opposing party, Senator Manchin of West Virginia, a state where the resident had held rallies in this year.

It came time for the press conference in the White House, this time held in the East Room which often means the President will speak. The President arrived who gave a statement and answered some questions. It had been reported he was in a good mood. His body language told a different story. Leaning forward, hands often on the podium, he showed himself as both aggressive and defensive.

When asked if he believed whether bipartisanship with the opposing party were possible after these elections and the consequent reshaping of the Congressional body, the President said there would be a good chance for that. But when asked if he would have to compromise in the event that subpoenas were sent to the WH demanding information of the many investigations that stretch back from before he came to office, the President said in that event ,then, "... government grinds to a halt and I would blame them." But then he reiterated his hope for chances to work together on common goals.

The next reporter asked about the long-term job security of the AG and the Deputy Attorney General, the President said he'd talk about that later. Then, he was asked if there was a chance of a government shutdown as the WH previously had threatened, based on the lack of funding for his proposed border wall with Mexico. The President didn't seem to think so as he continues to think such a wall is still a popular idea. Which in isolation is odd.

Reporter Yamiche Alcindor of PBS asked when called on if he thought that calling himself a nationalist on recent campaign rallies didn't embolden white nationalists.
This clearly incensed the President as he commented, 'That's such a racist question."

But the most widely distributed news that came out of this press conference with the POTUS just after the national midterm elections was the heated exchange with Jim Acosta of CNN. Both before and after a WH aide tried to take away Mr. Acosta's microphone this reporter was trying to ask if the President was demonizing immigrants by calling them an invasion. This was referring to the great number of walking migrants south of the border known as 'the Caravan', which he and his supporters spent a great deal of breath hammering on in the runup to these elections.
Since then the opposing factions for and against the President have been spending much of the day and night spreading their reactions - and with different videos - to this exchange with some calling it violent and others  an affront on free speech. Later that day the WH revoked the reporter's pass that lets him in to WH for these briefings. This increased the rancor on both sides of course.

Then came news that Jeff Sessions, the Administration's Attorney General, had been asked to resign. He complied supposedly at the insistence of WH Chief of Staff General John Kelly.
For many watching, this is the part of the show where the criminal tries to hide the evidence of crimes just before they get caught. But in this case, it is the President of the United States that is getting rid of the boss of all the investigators, AG Jeff Sessions, in order to replace him for now with a loyal placement holder.

The problems however, with Mr Whitaker that temporary replacement, are many. Not least of which involves him previously publicly saying he would end the Mueller Special Counsel Investigations into Trump's campaign dealings. There is a worry - because they've talked about it publicly - that this president, who has made his opposition to this investigation well known, wants to end this investigation in any way he can legitimate. Many think this is obstruction of justice in hiring a loyal partisan who has not been vetted by Congress.

Then last night another mass shooting. This time in Thousand Oaks, CA.
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Before the elections, Late Show comedian Stephen Colbert, playing America's weirdly delightful performance uncle broke into song. Accurately and depressingly captures a national mood.

Friday, November 2, 2018

Premise of Convent Chronicles, notes

"... the past reads differently according to whether one is examining texts by dominant or by subordinate groups and whether the texts are external or internal records."

Jennifer Summit shows how "... the "woman writer" was constructed by male authors, editors, translators, and printers and defined by her very "exteriority" to literary tradition as being absent or lost."

Anne Winston-Allen shows that "..."convent women" have been constructed by external authorities and sources as absent in the sense of silent, marginal, and walled-off from society. Nuns' writings, however, show that these women were intimately involved.... Neither were they silent. Substantial numbers of still almost completely unknown works by women produced in Dutch- and German- speaking regions exist and need to be taken into account."

"... the visionary mode, so often regarded as medieval women's primary manner of self-expression, was not the only kind of writing in which women engaged." [p. xiv]

In particular, examples of the agency of women can be found.

"The texts they left behind illustrate the relation between authority and text production by women. Like mystical and visionary works that conferred power or sister-books that represented social strategies, historical writings and chronicles are also political. Reform chronicles comprise a literary sub-genre that was both generated  by the reform and at the same time constitutive of it, seeking to validate, construct, and perpetuate the Observance." [p. xv]

Anne Winston-Allen wants to show how the shift to a vernacular language allowed more women to 'join in and affect the nature' of contemporary religious discussion. For example, she says women were the largest audience and chief transmitters of sermons in the vernacular and that previously this has gone 'largely unnoticed'. This presence, these faces who were on the stage amidst, and sometimes driving, the changes were people whose record Winston-Allen wants reintegrated into the broader historical record of their culture.

Beyond the preface our author does just this. In her introduction she looks briefly at sources.
"Produced in fifty-two different women's communities... besides the Emmerich text, two other books of sisters, twelve women's cloister chronicles, five foundation narratives, six accounts by nuns of the reform of convents, plus numerous other annals and historical writings." 
Of these she says four were written in Latin while all the rest in their native German or 'East Netherland' vernacular. The houses themselves that counted among the earliest were those Congregations of the Common Life practicing their self-styled devotio moderno. The numbers of these female houses reached nearly three times as many as the male houses in Dutch lands even thru the fifteenth century. The numbers of female religious in German lands is also remarkaby large.
But she says these were largely ignored in scholarly communities until as recently as 1985. [p.2]

While little is known about what these women did in their actual lives there is ample evidence that exists that could still be explored. While Winston-Allen has Jeffrey Hamburger point out how especially North American scholars have neglected these regions, times and lives there are a few more of French, Italian and English nuns.
"Women were, for example, active participants alongside men in the reform movement that swept the German-speaking areas in the fifteenth century. They left behind accounts that offer a different perspective on the struggle for renewal and reform on the eve of the Reformation. Consequently, to fully understand the dynamics of change that resulted in the radical religious upheavals of the Protestant Reformation in the sixteenth century, those records require further study."
While others say that a narrative that leaves out half a population must be seen as incomplete at best, our author says the "... task now is to rewrite the action with faces, names and fist-hand accounts from the women ..." who have their "own histories and works...". [p.3]

Women reformers and chroniclers were there in the many Observant houses and the conflicts with Conventuals within the Franciscans, Dominicans and Augustinians. But of course they were also on the Conventual side. [p.7]

In her first chapter she says she will review sources. Chapter two looks at how the environment for 'women religious changed' 13th-16th centuries. Following that she looks at those for the change in Observance while chapter four highlights those against, the Conventuals. This was one of few central divisive issues that drove many of the other changes in communities and people's religious practices and understandings across Europe. Chapter five she brings light to what she calls the explosion of scribal activity among women of the period. The sixth chapter looks at their various strategies in exercising power in their world.

The result is a broad and inclusive platfrorm providing suitable context, many voices, excerpts to provide solid grounding as well as over fifty pages of copious notes, and a daunting forty-five page bibliography as an aid for more needed research.  She succeeds for an English audience in the US where others have not and at 75 years old, teaches German and Medieval Literature at Southern Illinois University in Carbondale, Illinois.
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all quotes and pagination from paperback edition of,
Winston-Allen, Anne: Convent Chronicles: Women Writing About Women and Reform in the Late Middle Ages;  Pennsylvania State University Press, University Park, Pennsylvania; 2004